Tuesday, May 13, 2025

* ncaa baseball predictions

 there are a lot of very good teams at the top, so it's anyone's ncaa baseball championship trophy.  it will be very, very hard to win the thing.

  • fsu is in good shape to be one of the top 16 seeds, meaning:
    • super-regional?  only if they make the top 8, or get some help in the regionals.
    • their regional will be no cakewalk, as the committee may send florida.
      • this would be a heartbreaker. 
  • fsu will stack-up well in a super-regional.
  • cws is anybody's guess:
    1. fsu?
    2. lsu
    3. texas a&m? vandy?
    4. texas
    5. oregon? oregon state?
    6. nc
    7. arkansas
    8. tennessee? geogia?
      • my hope: fsu beats florida in regional, beats bama in supers, and beats texas, lsu, and (finally) tennessee to take the cws for the first time ever!
      • one can dream.
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update (5.28.2025): georgia tech won the a.c.c. championship, north carolina won the a.c.c. tournament, and fsu is seeded #9.  while they could win 'em all, they are just as likely to be "0-2 & barbecue"... the dreaded "2 & q."  more to follow.

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update (6.2.2025): fsu swept its regional! ...while:
  • texas lost, 
  • vandy lost, 
  • a&m lost, 
  • oregon lost, and 
  • georgia lost.
the supers look like this (my picks in bold): 
  • (9)fsu @ (8)oregon state (pick 'em)
  • louisville @ miami (pick 'em)
  • utsa @ ucla
  • murray state @ duke
  • arizona @ (5)nc
  • west virgina @ (6)lsu 
  • (13) coastal carolina @ (4)auburn
  • (14)tennessee @ (3)arkansas (pick 'em)
my hopes: fsu, miami, ucla, duke, nc, lsu, auburn, tennessee.  no matter how you slice it, the cws is going to be an open minefield.


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note: north carolina looks gooooooood... and is seeded #5 (in good shape for a super-regional).

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